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1.
Arq. bras. oftalmol ; 87(3): e2022, 2024. tab, graf
Artigo em Inglês | LILACS-Express | LILACS | ID: biblio-1520228

RESUMO

ABSTRACT Purpose: The emergency medical service is a fundamental part of healthcare, albeit crowded emergency rooms lead to delayed and low-quality assistance in actual urgent cases. Machine-learning algorithms can provide a smart and effective estimation of emergency patients' volume, which was previously restricted to artificial intelligence (AI) experts in coding and computer science but is now feasible by anyone without any coding experience through auto machine learning. This study aimed to create a machine-learning model designed by an ophthalmologist without any coding experience using AutoML to predict the influx in the emergency department and trauma cases. Methods: A dataset of 356,611 visits at Hospital da Universidade Federal de São Paulo from January 01, 2014 to December 31, 2019 was included in the model training, which included visits/day and the international classification disease code. The training and prediction were made with the Amazon Forecast by 2 ophthalmologists with no prior coding experience. Results: The forecast period predicted a mean emergency patient volume of 216.27/day in p90, 180.75/day in p50, and 140.35/day in p10, and a mean of 7.42 trauma cases/ day in p90, 3.99/day in p50, and 0.56/day in p10. In January of 2020, there were a total of 6,604 patient visits and a mean of 206.37 patients/day, which is 13.5% less than the p50 prediction. This period involved a total of 199 trauma cases and a mean of 6.21 cases/day, which is 55.77% more traumas than that by the p50 prediction. Conclusions: The development of models was previously restricted to data scientists' experts in coding and computer science, but transfer learning autoML has enabled AI development by any person with no code experience mandatory. This study model showed a close value to the actual 2020 January visits, and the only factors that may have influenced the results between the two approaches are holidays and dataset size. This is the first study to apply AutoML in hospital visits forecast, showing a close prediction of the actual hospital influx.


RESUMO Objetivo: Esse estudo tem como objetivo criar um modelo de Machine Learning por um oftalmologista sem experiência em programação utilizando auto Machine Learning predizendo influxo de pacientes em serviço de emergência e casos de trauma. Métodos: Um dataset de 366,610 visitas em Hospital Universitário da Universidade Federal de São Paulo de 01 de janeiro de 2014 até 31 de dezembro de 2019 foi incluído no treinamento do modelo, incluindo visitas/dia e código internacional de doenças. O treinamento e predição foram realizados com o Amazon Forecast por dois oftalmologistas sem experiência com programação. Resultados: O período de previsão estimou um volume de 206,37 pacientes/dia em p90, 180,75 em p50, 140,35 em p10 e média de 7,42 casos de trauma/dia em p90, 3,99 em p50 e 0,56 em p10. Janeiro de 2020 teve um total de 6.604 pacientes e média de 206,37 pacientes/dia, 13,5% menos do que a predição em p50. O período teve um total de 199 casos de trauma e média de 6,21 casos/dia, 55,77% mais casos do que a predição em p50. Conclusão: O desenvolvimento de modelos era restrito a cientistas de dados com experiencia em programação, porém a transferência de ensino com a tecnologia de auto Machine Learning permite o desenvolvimento de algoritmos por qualquer pessoa sem experiencia em programação. Esse estudo mostra um modelo com valores preditos próximos ao que ocorreram em janeiro de 2020. Fatores que podem ter influenciados no resultado foram feriados e tamanho do banco de dados. Esse é o primeiro estudo que aplicada auto Machine Learning em predição de visitas hospitalares com resultados próximos aos que ocorreram.

2.
Rev Assoc Med Bras (1992) ; 69(10): e20230848, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37792871

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to evaluate the performance of ChatGPT-4.0 in answering the 2022 Brazilian National Examination for Medical Degree Revalidation (Revalida) and as a tool to provide feedback on the quality of the examination. METHODS: A total of two independent physicians entered all examination questions into ChatGPT-4.0. After comparing the outputs with the test solutions, they classified the large language model answers as adequate, inadequate, or indeterminate. In cases of disagreement, they adjudicated and achieved a consensus decision on the ChatGPT accuracy. The performance across medical themes and nullified questions was compared using chi-square statistical analysis. RESULTS: In the Revalida examination, ChatGPT-4.0 answered 71 (87.7%) questions correctly and 10 (12.3%) incorrectly. There was no statistically significant difference in the proportions of correct answers among different medical themes (p=0.4886). The artificial intelligence model had a lower accuracy of 71.4% in nullified questions, with no statistical difference (p=0.241) between non-nullified and nullified groups. CONCLUSION: ChatGPT-4.0 showed satisfactory performance for the 2022 Brazilian National Examination for Medical Degree Revalidation. The large language model exhibited worse performance on subjective questions and public healthcare themes. The results of this study suggested that the overall quality of the Revalida examination questions is satisfactory and corroborates the nullified questions.


Assuntos
Inteligência Artificial , Pessoal de Saúde , Humanos , Brasil , Idioma
3.
Ann Med ; 55(2): 2258149, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37734417

RESUMO

PURPOSE: This study aims to compare artificial intelligence (AI) systems applied in diabetic retinopathy (DR) teleophthalmology screening, currently deployed systems, fairness initiatives and the challenges for implementation. METHODS: The review included articles retrieved from PubMed/Medline/EMBASE literature search strategy regarding telemedicine, DR and AI. The screening criteria included human articles in English, Portuguese or Spanish and related to telemedicine and AI for DR screening. The author's affiliations and the study's population income group were classified according to the World Bank Country and Lending Groups. RESULTS: The literature search yielded a total of 132 articles, and nine were included after full-text assessment. The selected articles were published between 2004 and 2020 and were grouped as telemedicine systems, algorithms, economic analysis and image quality assessment. Four telemedicine systems that perform a quality assessment, image preprocessing and pathological screening were reviewed. A data and post-deployment bias assessment are not performed in any of the algorithms, and none of the studies evaluate the social impact implementations. There is a lack of representativeness in the reviewed articles, with most authors and target populations from high-income countries and no low-income country representation. CONCLUSIONS: Telemedicine and AI hold great promise for augmenting decision-making in medical care, expanding patient access and enhancing cost-effectiveness. Economic studies and social science analysis are crucial to support the implementation of AI in teleophthalmology screening programs. Promoting fairness and generalizability in automated systems combined with telemedicine screening programs is not straightforward. Improving data representativeness, reducing biases and promoting equity in deployment and post-deployment studies are all critical steps in model development.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus , Retinopatia Diabética , Oftalmologia , Telemedicina , Humanos , Inteligência Artificial , Retinopatia Diabética/diagnóstico , Algoritmos
4.
Int J Retina Vitreous ; 9(1): 48, 2023 Aug 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37605208

RESUMO

PURPOSE: In supervised Machine Learning algorithms, labels and reports are important in model development. To provide a normality assessment, the OCT has an in-built normative database that provides a color base scale from the measurement database comparison. This article aims to evaluate and compare normative databases of different OCT machines, analyzing patient demographic, contrast inclusion and exclusion criteria, diversity index, and statistical approach to assess their fairness and generalizability. METHODS: Data were retrieved from Cirrus, Avanti, Spectralis, and Triton's FDA-approval and equipment manual. The following variables were compared: number of eyes and patients, inclusion and exclusion criteria, statistical approach, sex, race and ethnicity, age, participant country, and diversity index. RESULTS: Avanti OCT has the largest normative database (640 eyes). In every database, the inclusion and exclusion criteria were similar, including adult patients and excluding pathological eyes. Spectralis has the largest White (79.7%) proportionately representation, Cirrus has the largest Asian (24%), and Triton has the largest Black (22%) patient representation. In all databases, the statistical analysis applied was Regression models. The sex diversity index is similar in all datasets, and comparable to the ten most populous contries. Avanti dataset has the highest diversity index in terms of race, followed by Cirrus, Triton, and Spectralis. CONCLUSION: In all analyzed databases, the data framework is static, with limited upgrade options and lacking normative databases for new modules. As a result, caution in OCT normality interpretation is warranted. To address these limitations, there is a need for more diverse, representative, and open-access datasets that take into account patient demographics, especially considering the development of supervised Machine Learning algorithms in healthcare.

5.
BMJ Open Ophthalmol ; 8(1)2023 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37558406

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) is a vasoproliferative disease responsible for more than 30 000 blind children worldwide. Its diagnosis and treatment are challenging due to the lack of specialists, divergent diagnostic concordance and variation in classification standards. While artificial intelligence (AI) can address the shortage of professionals and provide more cost-effective management, its development needs fairness, generalisability and bias controls prior to deployment to avoid producing harmful unpredictable results. This review aims to compare AI and ROP study's characteristics, fairness and generalisability efforts. METHODS: Our review yielded 220 articles, of which 18 were included after full-text assessment. The articles were classified into ROP severity grading, plus detection, detecting treatment requiring, ROP prediction and detection of retinal zones. RESULTS: All the article's authors and included patients are from middle-income and high-income countries, with no low-income countries, South America, Australia and Africa Continents representation.Code is available in two articles and in one on request, while data are not available in any article. 88.9% of the studies use the same retinal camera. In two articles, patients' sex was described, but none applied a bias control in their models. CONCLUSION: The reviewed articles included 180 228 images and reported good metrics, but fairness, generalisability and bias control remained limited. Reproducibility is also a critical limitation, with few articles sharing codes and none sharing data. Fair and generalisable ROP and AI studies are needed that include diverse datasets, data and code sharing, collaborative research, and bias control to avoid unpredictable and harmful deployments.


Assuntos
Aprendizado Profundo , Retinopatia da Prematuridade , Recém-Nascido , Criança , Humanos , Retinopatia da Prematuridade/diagnóstico , Inteligência Artificial , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Algoritmos
6.
BMJ Open Ophthalmol ; 8(1)2023 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37278426

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: In ophthalmology, clinical trials (CTs) guide the treatment of diseases such as diabetic retinopathy, myopia, age-related macular degeneration, glaucoma and keratoconus with distinct presentations, pathological characteristics and responses to treatment in minority populations.Reporting gender and race and ethnicity in healthcare studies is currently recommended by National Institutes of Health (NIH) and Food and Drug Administration (FDA) guidelines to ensure representativeness and generalisability; however, CT results that include this information have been limited in the past 30 years.The objective of this review is to analyse the sociodemographic disparities in ophthalmological phases III and IV CT based on publicly available data. METHODS: This study included phases III and IV complete ophthalmological CT available from clinicaltrials.org, and describes the country distribution, race and ethnicity description and gender, and funding characteristics. RESULTS: After a screening process, we included 654 CTs, with findings that corroborate the previous CT reviews' findings that most ophthalmological participants are white and from high-income countries. A description of race and ethnicity is reported in 37.1% of studies but less frequently included within the most studied ophthalmological specialty area (cornea, retina, glaucoma and cataracts). The incidence of race and ethnicity reporting has improved during the past 7 years. DISCUSSION: Although NIH and FDA promote guidelines to improve generalisability in healthcare studies, the inclusion of race and ethnicity in publications and diverse participants in ophthalmological CT is still limited. Actions from the research community and related stakeholders are necessary to increase representativeness and guarantee generalisability in ophthalmological research results to optimise care and reduce related healthcare disparities.


Assuntos
Catarata , Glaucoma , Oftalmologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Humanos , Etnicidade , Grupos Minoritários , Glaucoma/diagnóstico
7.
Acta Diabetol ; 60(8): 1075-1081, 2023 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37149834

RESUMO

AIMS: This study aims to compare the performance of a handheld fundus camera (Eyer) and standard tabletop fundus cameras (Visucam 500, Visucam 540, and Canon CR-2) for diabetic retinopathy and diabetic macular edema screening. METHODS: This was a multicenter, cross-sectional study that included images from 327 individuals with diabetes. The participants underwent pharmacological mydriasis and fundus photography in two fields (macula and optic disk centered) with both strategies. All images were acquired by trained healthcare professionals, de-identified, and graded independently by two masked ophthalmologists, with a third senior ophthalmologist adjudicating in discordant cases. The International Classification of Diabetic Retinopathy was used for grading, and demographic data, diabetic retinopathy classification, artifacts, and image quality were compared between devices. The tabletop senior ophthalmologist adjudication label was used as the ground truth for comparative analysis. A univariate and stepwise multivariate logistic regression was performed to determine the relationship of each independent factor in referable diabetic retinopathy. RESULTS: The mean age of participants was 57.03 years (SD 16.82, 9-90 years), and the mean duration of diabetes was 16.35 years (SD 9.69, 1-60 years). Age (P = .005), diabetes duration (P = .004), body mass index (P = .005), and hypertension (P < .001) were statistically different between referable and non-referable patients. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed a positive association between male sex (OR 1.687) and hypertension (OR 3.603) with referable diabetic retinopathy. The agreement between devices for diabetic retinopathy classification was 73.18%, with a weighted kappa of 0.808 (almost perfect). The agreement for macular edema was 88.48%, with a kappa of 0.809 (almost perfect). For referable diabetic retinopathy, the agreement was 85.88%, with a kappa of 0.716 (substantial), sensitivity of 0.906, and specificity of 0.808. As for image quality, 84.02% of tabletop fundus camera images were gradable and 85.31% of the Eyer images were gradable. CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows that the handheld retinal camera Eyer performed comparably to standard tabletop fundus cameras for diabetic retinopathy and macular edema screening. The high agreement with tabletop devices, portability, and low costs makes the handheld retinal camera a promising tool for increasing coverage of diabetic retinopathy screening programs, particularly in low-income countries. Early diagnosis and treatment have the potential to prevent avoidable blindness, and the present validation study brings evidence that supports its contribution to diabetic retinopathy early diagnosis and treatment.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus , Retinopatia Diabética , Edema Macular , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Retinopatia Diabética/diagnóstico , Edema Macular/diagnóstico , Edema Macular/etiologia , Smartphone , Estudos Transversais , Retina , Programas de Rastreamento/métodos
9.
Arq Bras Oftalmol ; 86(5): e20230067, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35544937

RESUMO

PURPOSE: This study aimed to describe the visits profile to Hospital São Paulo's ophthalmology emergency department, a 24-hour public open-access tertiary-care service in São Paulo, Brazil, that belongs to Federal University of São Paulo, over the last 11 years. METHODS: A cross-sectional retrospective study was conducted, including all patients (n=634,726) admitted to the ophthalmology emergency department of Hospital São Paulo between January 2009 and December 2019. RESULTS: From 2009 to 2019, the number of patients' presentations increased to 39.2%, with considerable visits variation across the period. The median age was 38 ± 20.4 years. Males represented 53.3%, and single-visit patients represented 53.1%. A total of 79.5% of patients' presentations occurred from 7 am to 5 pm, and 80.8% of patients' presentations occurred during regular weekdays. The most frequent diagnoses were conjunctivitis, blepharitis, keratitis, hordeolum/chalazion, and corneal foreign body. CONCLUSIONS: Over the study period, presentations significantly increased in number, with nonurgent visits predominance, and a low number of single-visit patients. Our results demonstrate the ophthalmic visits profile and can lead to changes in the public health system to improve the quality of care and ophthalmology emergency access in São Paulo city.


Assuntos
Oftalmologia , Masculino , Humanos , Adolescente , Adulto Jovem , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Brasil/epidemiologia , Centros de Atenção Terciária , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estudos Transversais , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Análise de Dados
10.
Arq. bras. oftalmol ; 86(5): e20230067, 2023. tab, graf
Artigo em Inglês | LILACS-Express | LILACS | ID: biblio-1513676

RESUMO

ABSTRACT Purpose: This study aimed to describe the visits profile to Hospital São Paulo's ophthalmology emergency department, a 24-hour public open-access tertiary-care service in São Paulo, Brazil, that belongs to Federal University of São Paulo, over the last 11 years. Methods: A cross-sectional retrospective study was conducted, including all patients (n=634,726) admitted to the ophthalmology emergency department of Hospital São Paulo between January 2009 and December 2019. Results: From 2009 to 2019, the number of patients' presentations increased to 39.2%, with considerable visits variation across the period. The median age was 38 ± 20.4 years. Males represented 53.3%, and single-visit patients represented 53.1%. A total of 79.5% of patients' presentations occurred from 7 am to 5 pm, and 80.8% of patients' presentations occurred during regular weekdays. The most frequent diagnoses were conjunctivitis, blepharitis, keratitis, hordeolum/chalazion, and corneal foreign body. Conclusions: Over the study period, presentations significantly increased in number, with nonurgent visits predominance, and a low number of single-visit patients. Our results demonstrate the ophthalmic visits profile and can lead to changes in the public health system to improve the quality of care and ophthalmology emergency access in São Paulo city.


RESUMO Objetivos: O objetivo do estudo é avaliar o perfil das visitas ao Pronto-Socorro de Oftalmologia (PS) do Hospital São Paulo, serviço público de atendimento terciário aberto 24 horas em São Paulo - Brasil, pertencente à Universidade Federal de São Paulo, nos últimos 11 anos. Métodos: Foi realizado um estudo transversal retrospectivo, com base em todos os pacientes (n=634.726) admitidos no pronto-socorro de oftalmologia do Hospital São Paulo entre janeiro de 2009 e dezembro de 2019. Resultados: De 2009 a 2019, houve um aumento no influxo de 39,2% com importante variação nos atendimentos ao longo dos anos, a mediana de idade foi de 38 ± 20,4 anos, o sexo masculino representou 53,3% e os pacientes únicos representaram 53,1%. Verificou-se que 79,5% das visitas ocorreram das 7h às 17h e 80,8% nos dias da semana. Os diagnósticos mais frequentes foram conjuntivite aguda seguida de blefarite, ceratite, hordéolo / calázio e corpo estranho corneano. Conclusão: Ao longo do período de análise do estudo, houve importante aumento nas apresentações, com predominância de atendimentos não urgentes e baixa proporção de pacientes com uma única visita. Nossos resultados evidenciam o perfil das consultas oftalmológicas, podendo gerar mudanças no sistema público de saúde visando a melhoria da qualidade do atendimento e acesso às emergências oftalmológicas na cidade de São Paulo.

11.
Rev. Assoc. Med. Bras. (1992, Impr.) ; 69(10): e20230848, 2023. graf
Artigo em Inglês | LILACS-Express | LILACS | ID: biblio-1514686

RESUMO

SUMMARY OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to evaluate the performance of ChatGPT-4.0 in answering the 2022 Brazilian National Examination for Medical Degree Revalidation (Revalida) and as a tool to provide feedback on the quality of the examination. METHODS: A total of two independent physicians entered all examination questions into ChatGPT-4.0. After comparing the outputs with the test solutions, they classified the large language model answers as adequate, inadequate, or indeterminate. In cases of disagreement, they adjudicated and achieved a consensus decision on the ChatGPT accuracy. The performance across medical themes and nullified questions was compared using chi-square statistical analysis. RESULTS: In the Revalida examination, ChatGPT-4.0 answered 71 (87.7%) questions correctly and 10 (12.3%) incorrectly. There was no statistically significant difference in the proportions of correct answers among different medical themes (p=0.4886). The artificial intelligence model had a lower accuracy of 71.4% in nullified questions, with no statistical difference (p=0.241) between non-nullified and nullified groups. CONCLUSION: ChatGPT-4.0 showed satisfactory performance for the 2022 Brazilian National Examination for Medical Degree Revalidation. The large language model exhibited worse performance on subjective questions and public healthcare themes. The results of this study suggested that the overall quality of the Revalida examination questions is satisfactory and corroborates the nullified questions.

12.
Arq. bras. oftalmol ; 86(6): e2021, 2023. tab, graf
Artigo em Inglês | LILACS-Express | LILACS | ID: biblio-1520208

RESUMO

ABSTRACT Purpose: The COVID-19 pandemic began in March 2020 and changed the healthcare system overall. The pandemic led to resource allocation changes, overloading of intensive care units, apprehensiveness of patients to seek medical care not related to COVID-19, and an abrupt reduction in all nonurgent consultations and surgeries. This study evaluated the impact on an ophthalmological emergency room for one year by assessing the correlation between societal lockdown phases and COVID-19 mortality. Methods: An observational, retrospective study was conducted that included all patients admitted to the Ophthalmology Emergency Department between January 1, 2019, and March 28, 2021. The visits were classified into prepandemic and pandemic groups that were then compared. Results: In the prepandemic period, the hospital registered a total of 71,485 visits with a mean of 194.78 ± 49.74 daily visits. In the pandemic group, there was a total of 41,791 visits with a mean of 114.18 ± 43.12 daily visits, which was a 41.4% decrease. A significant decrea­se (16.4 p<0.001) was observed in the prevalence of acute conjunctivitis, and a significant increase (6.4%; p<0.01) was observed in the prevalence of corneal foreign body disorders. A negative correlation was identified between the COVID-19 death rate and the ophthalmological inflow rates. Conclusion: This one-year analysis showed a reduction of 41.4% in emergency department visits and a significant decrease in infectious conditions. A change in hygiene habits and social distancing could explain this reduction, and the increased prevalence of trauma consultations highlighted the need for preventive and educative measures during these types of restrictive periods.


RESUMO Objetivos: A pandemia de COVID-19 foi iniciada em março de 2020 e mudou o sistema de saúde. Mudanças na alocação de recursos, sobrecarga de unidades de terapia intensiva, apreensão dos pacientes em procurar atendimento médico não relacionado ao COVID-19 e redução abrupta de todas as consultas e cirurgias não urgentes. Este estudo avalia o impacto em um pronto-socorro oftalmológico após 1 ano de pandemia, avaliando a correlação entre as fases de lockdown, a mortalidade do COVID-19 e as visitas ao pronto-socorro. Métodos: Estudo observacional retrospectivo que incluiu todos os pacientes admitidos no serviço de emergência oftalmológica do Hospital São Paulo, vinculado a UNIFESP/EPM, entre 1º de janeiro de 2019 e 28 de março de 2021. As visitas foram classificadas e comparadas em um grupo pré-pandemia e pandemia. Resultados: No período pré-pandemia, o hospital registrou um total de 71.485 atendimentos com média de 194,78 ± 49,74 atendimentos diários, e no grupo pandemia, um total de 41.791 com média de 114,18 ± 43,12 atendimentos diários, redução de 41,4%. Uma diminuição significativa de 16,4% (p<0,001) foi observada na prevalência de conjuntivite aguda e um aumento significativo de 6,4% (p<0,01) na prevalência de corpo estranho da córnea. Foi identificada uma correlação negativa entre a taxa de mortalidade do COVID-19 e as taxas de visita ao pronto-socorro. Conclusão: Esta análise de um ano mostrou uma redução de 41,4% nas visitas ao pronto-socorro, e uma diminuição significativa nas conjuntivites agudas. A mudança nos hábitos de higiene e o distanciamento social poderiam explicar essa redução, e o aumento da prevalência de traumas corneanos. Achados destacam a necessidade de medidas preventivas e educativas durante os períodos restritivos.

14.
Arq Bras Oftalmol ; 2022 Nov 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36350913

RESUMO

PURPOSE: The emergency medical service is a fundamental part of healthcare, albeit crowded emergency rooms lead to delayed and low-quality assistance in actual urgent cases. Machine-learning algorithms can provide a smart and effective estimation of emergency patients' volume, which was previously restricted to artificial intelligence (AI) experts in coding and computer science but is now feasible by anyone without any coding experience through auto machine learning. This study aimed to create a machine-learning model designed by an ophthalmologist without any coding experience using AutoML to predict the influx in the emergency department and trauma cases. METHODS: A dataset of 356,611 visits at Hospital da Universidade Federal de São Paulo from January 01, 2014 to December 31, 2019 was included in the model training, which included visits/day and the international classification disease code. The training and prediction were made with the Amazon Forecast by 2 ophthalmologists with no prior coding experience. RESULTS: The forecast period predicted a mean emergency patient volume of 216.27/day in p90, 180.75/day in p50, and 140.35/day in p10, and a mean of 7.42 trauma cases/ day in p90, 3.99/day in p50, and 0.56/day in p10. In January of 2020, there were a total of 6,604 patient visits and a mean of 206.37 patients/day, which is 13.5% less than the p50 prediction. This period involved a total of 199 trauma cases and a mean of 6.21 cases/day, which is 55.77% more traumas than that by the p50 prediction. CONCLUSIONS: The development of models was previously restricted to data scientists' experts in coding and computer science, but transfer learning autoML has enabled AI development by any person with no code experience mandatory. This study model showed a close value to the actual 2020 January visits, and the only factors that may have influenced the results between the two approaches are holidays and dataset size. This is the first study to apply AutoML in hospital visits forecast, showing a close prediction of the actual hospital influx.

15.
Arq Bras Oftalmol ; 2022 Jul 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35857991

RESUMO

PURPOSE: The COVID-19 pandemic began in March 2020 and changed the healthcare system overall. The pandemic led to resource allocation changes, overloading of intensive care units, apprehensiveness of patients to seek medical care not related to COVID-19, and an abrupt reduction in all nonurgent consultations and surgeries. This study evaluated the impact on an ophthalmological emergency room for one year by assessing the correlation between societal lockdown phases and COVID-19 mortality. METHODS: An observational, retrospective study was conducted that included all patients admitted to the Ophthalmology Emergency Department between January 1, 2019, and March 28, 2021. The visits were classified into prepandemic and pandemic groups that were then compared. RESULTS: In the prepandemic period, the hospital registered a total of 71,485 visits with a mean of 194.78 ± 49.74 daily visits. In the pandemic group, there was a total of 41,791 visits with a mean of 114.18 ± 43.12 daily visits, which was a 41.4% decrease. A significant decrea-se (16.4 p<0.001) was observed in the prevalence of acute conjunctivitis, and a significant increase (6.4%; p<0.01) was observed in the prevalence of corneal foreign body disorders. A negative correlation was identified between the COVID-19 death rate and the ophthalmological inflow rates. CONCLUSION: This one-year analysis showed a reduction of 41.4% in emergency department visits and a significant decrease in infectious conditions. A change in hygiene habits and social distancing could explain this reduction, and the increased prevalence of trauma consultations highlighted the need for preventive and educative measures during these types of restrictive periods.

17.
Int J Retina Vitreous ; 8(1): 1, 2022 Jan 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34980281

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Artificial intelligence and automated technology were first reported more than 70 years ago and nowadays provide unprecedented diagnostic accuracy, screening capacity, risk stratification, and workflow optimization. Diabetic retinopathy is an important cause of preventable blindness worldwide, and artificial intelligence technology provides precocious diagnosis, monitoring, and guide treatment. High-quality exams are fundamental in supervised artificial intelligence algorithms, but the lack of ground truth standards in retinal exams datasets is a problem. MAIN BODY: In this article, ETDRS, NHS, ICDR, SDGS diabetic retinopathy grading, and manual annotation are described and compared in publicly available datasets. The various DR labeling systems generate a fundamental problem for AI datasets. Possible solutions are standardization of DR classification and direct retinal-finding identifications. CONCLUSION: Reliable labeling methods also need to be considered in datasets with more trustworthy labeling.

20.
J Clin Sleep Med ; 17(9): 1947-1952, 2021 09 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34165073

RESUMO

CITATION: This review's objective was to synthesize the literature on the repercussions of obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) in the retinal vascular system. Two independent investigators conducted a search using the MEDLINE/PubMed database using the following terms: sleep apnea syndrome, obstructive sleep apnea, retina, vascular tortuosity, central serous chorioretinopathy, diabetes mellitus, and subfoveal choroidal thickness. Patients with OSA present increased vascular tortuosity compared with patients without OSA, decreased parafoveal and peripapillary vessel density, and increased retinal vein occlusion incidence. In central serous chorioretinopathy patients and patients who are poor responders to intravitreal anti-VEGF (-vascular endothelial growth factor) treatment for macular edema, OSA is more frequent. Macular choroidal thickness alterations are controversial, and OSA may worsen diabetic maculopathy, thus being a risk factor for diabetic retinopathy, proliferative diabetic retinopathy, and macular edema. OSA is a prevalent syndrome with many systemic vascular changes. The retina and choroid are the most affected ocular structures, with primarily vascular changes. New noninvasive technologies such as optical coherence tomography and optical coherence tomography angiography could help to better understand retinal structures and help clarify the ophthalmological repercussions of OSA. CITATION: Nakayama LF, Tempaku PF, Bergamo VC, et al. Obstructive sleep apnea and the retina: a review. J Clin Sleep Med. 2021;17(9):1947-1952.


Assuntos
Retinopatia Diabética , Vasos Retinianos/patologia , Apneia Obstrutiva do Sono , Retinopatia Diabética/epidemiologia , Humanos , Retina/patologia , Apneia Obstrutiva do Sono/complicações , Apneia Obstrutiva do Sono/epidemiologia , Tomografia de Coerência Óptica , Fator A de Crescimento do Endotélio Vascular
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